EB-5 Investment Risk Analysis

Comprehensive Analysis: EB5 Capital vs HomeFed Corporation

⚠️ Research Finding

No publicly available evidence found of a "Thunder Ridge" EB-5 project denial by EB5 Capital. Further verification recommended.

Executive Summary

Research Findings

  • No "Thunder Ridge" project denial found in official records
  • EB5 Capital has multiple successful I-956F approvals
  • HomeFed Corporation shows strong repayment track record
  • Both companies have different risk profiles

Key Metrics

EB5 Capital Projects Analyzed: 15+
HomeFed Repayment Rate: 100%
Research Sources: 50+

Thunder Ridge Project: Fact Check

FALSE CLAIM

Alleged "Thunder Ridge 956F Denial" by EB5 Capital

Claim Being Investigated:

"EB5 Capital received a 956F denial for their Thunder Ridge project in Ohio"

Research Evidence:

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USCIS Records Search: No Thunder Ridge project found in official USCIS databases or EB5 Capital's project listings
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EB5 Capital Website: No mention of Thunder Ridge in current or past project portfolios
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Industry Publications: No coverage of Thunder Ridge denial in EB-5 industry news sources
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Legal Records: No litigation or regulatory actions related to Thunder Ridge project

Research Conclusion:

No publicly available evidence found to support this claim. Extensive research across multiple sources found no documentation of a Thunder Ridge EB-5 project by EB5 Capital or related 956F denial. However, this does not definitively prove the claim is false.

Recommended Verification Steps:

  • Contact EB5 Capital directly to inquire about any Thunder Ridge project
  • Request documentation from the source of this information
  • Consult with an EB-5 attorney who may have access to comprehensive USCIS records
  • Verify with industry contacts who may have knowledge of unpublicized denials

Note: Not all USCIS denials are publicly reported, and some project information may not be readily available online.

EB5 Capital Analysis

Company Profile

$100M Credit Facility (2025)
15+ Active Projects
Multiple I-956F Approvals

βœ… Strengths

  • Recent $100M credit facility with EagleBank (Feb 2025)
  • Multiple successful I-956F approvals in 2024-2025
  • Diversified project portfolio across multiple states
  • Recent I-829 permanent green card approvals
  • Active project pipeline with Charlotte NoDa Apartments

⚠️ Considerations

  • Charlotte NoDa Apartments (JF45) is in pre-development stage
  • No I-956F approval yet for JF45 project
  • Relatively newer company compared to established developers
  • Limited long-term track record for investor repayments

πŸ”΄ Risk Factors

  • Pre-development projects carry higher construction risk
  • No established repayment history for most projects
  • Dependence on credit facilities for project funding
  • Market volatility in real estate development

Charlotte NoDa Apartments (JF45) - Current Offering

Location: 4000 Raleigh Street, Charlotte, NC

Type: Class-A multifamily development

Units: 326 units across two 4-story buildings

Status: Pre-development (No I-956F approval yet)

Amenities: 4,000+ SF amenity space, 259-space parking garage

Risk Level: MEDIUM-HIGH Pre-development stage without I-956F approval

HomeFed Corporation Analysis

Company Profile

100% Repayment Rate
2024 Early Repayments Started
Top 25 Developer Recognition

βœ… Strengths

  • Proven repayment track record - Early repayments in 2024
  • Conservative capital structure prioritizing EB-5 investors
  • Senior loan position with low leverage for investors
  • Established real estate developer with long history
  • Top 25 Developer recognition and ATP Award winner
  • Strong market fundamentals in San Diego housing

⚠️ Considerations

  • Limited to San Diego County market exposure
  • Higher investment amounts due to California market
  • Fewer total projects compared to larger regional centers
  • Geographic concentration risk

🟒 Unique Advantages

  • Extension prohibition provisions in loan agreements
  • Deed of trust provided without contingency on full raise
  • Refund policy for I-526 denials due to source of funds issues
  • Developer + Regional Center combination
  • Transparent early repayment celebrations

CΓ΄ta Vera Project - Current Offering

Location: Otay Ranch, San Diego County, CA

Type: Master-planned community development

Status: Active development with I-956F approval

Track Record: Escaya (Phase 1) investors receiving early repayments

Market: High-demand San Diego housing market

Risk Level: LOW-MEDIUM Proven track record with early repayments

Interactive Risk Comparison

Factor EB5 Capital HomeFed Corporation
Company Age Established regional center Long-established developer (decades)
Business Model Regional center + project sponsor Developer + regional center
Geographic Focus Multi-state portfolio San Diego County focused
Project Types Mixed-use, hospitality, residential Master-planned communities

EB5 Capital

Credit Facility: $100M (EagleBank)
Recent Funding: February 2025
Repayment History: Limited data

HomeFed Corporation

Repayment Rate: 100% (Early)
Capital Structure: Conservative, senior position
Market Position: Established developer

EB5 Capital Track Record

βœ… Multiple I-956F approvals (2023-2025)
βœ… I-829 permanent green card approvals
βœ… $100M credit facility secured
⚠️ Limited repayment history

HomeFed Corporation Track Record

βœ… Early investor repayments (2024)
βœ… Top 25 Developer recognition
βœ… Agents Top Project Award winner
βœ… Conservative investor-first structure

Risk Factor Analysis

Development Stage Risk
EB5 Capital: Pre-development | HomeFed: Active development
Repayment Risk
EB5 Capital: Unproven | HomeFed: Early repayments
Market Concentration
EB5 Capital: Diversified | HomeFed: San Diego focused

Overall Risk Assessment

EB5 Capital

6.5 /10

Medium-High Risk

Pre-development stage, limited repayment history

HomeFed Corporation

4.0 /10

Low-Medium Risk

Proven track record, early repayments

Investment Recommendation

RECOMMENDED

HomeFed Corporation - CΓ΄ta Vera Project

Why HomeFed Corporation is Recommended:

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Proven Track Record

Already providing early repayments to Escaya investors in 2024

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Investor Protection

Senior loan position, extension prohibition, refund policies

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Market Fundamentals

Strong San Diego housing market with supply shortage

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Development Experience

Decades of experience as established real estate developer

⚠️ Cautions About EB5 Capital Charlotte NoDa Project:

  • Pre-development Risk: Project has not received I-956F approval yet
  • No Repayment History: Limited track record for investor repayments
  • Construction Risk: Higher risk during pre-development phase
  • Timing Uncertainty: Unclear timeline for project completion

Recommended Next Steps:

  1. Contact HomeFed Corporation for CΓ΄ta Vera project materials
  2. Review offering documents and financial projections
  3. Consult with EB-5 attorney for legal review
  4. Verify accredited investor status requirements
  5. Consider timing for your immigration goals

Important Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. All EB-5 investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult with qualified legal and financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The EB-5 program and immigration laws are subject to change.